SEIDO Forecasts - Financial Program

Published by Alphacast in SEIDO Macro Research
Updated
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Dataset Information

Data available from 2021-01-01 to 2021-12-01
Source:
SEIDO's financial program, in ARS and as % GDP. Actual data up to Aug, forecasts for Sep-Dec. Interests and amortizations exclude debt owed to the public sector. Notes: (a) Total Financing Needs (A) = Primary deficit + Interest + Amortizations; (b) Financial Sources (B) = Bills rollover + Bonds rollover + IFIs rollover; (c) Monetary Financing = (A) - (B); (d) Differences in actual data are imputed to Excess Financing and carried over to the next month (shown as Previous Extra Financing); (e) We assume that Excess Financing drops to zero until 2021 ends; (f) We assume a 120% roll-over rate of maturing debt with the private sector; (g) We assume that debt with IFIs is either rolled over, postponed or paid by the extra SDR allocation; (h) We use our 2021 GDP forecast for GDP ratios.
Entities
Date
country
Variables
ARS Bonds
ARS Bonds_gdp
Amortizations
Amortizations_gdp
Bills
and 31 more variables
Transformations
Original Variable

Activity