Latest Report

Projections Over Time

Median & Central tendencies

Confidence Intervals

Participant's distribution

Risk Weightings

Uncertainty Assessments

Alphacast

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United States: FOMC - Summary of Economic Projections

This dataset contains the United States’ quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) projections.

Gross Domestic Product Projections

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is an agency of the U.S. Department of Commerce that is responsible for measuring and analyzing the nation's economic performance. It produces a wide range of economic statistics, including gross domestic product (GDP), personal income and outlays, and international transactions.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index

Inflation - USA - BEA - Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index

Luciano Cohan

This dataset includes the median projection and confidence interval based on historical forecast errors for each indicator, published by FED.

Confidence Intervals For Key Economic Indicators

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED) is the central bank of the United States. It is responsible for implementing monetary policy, maintaining price stability, and ensuring the proper functioning of the financial system in the country.

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Monetary - United States - FOMC - Confidence Intervals for Key Economic Indicators

This dataset includes information of the the Current Population Survey (CPS). The CPS is a monthly survey of households conducted by the Bureau of Census for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The variable Total unemployed corresponds to total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force.

Current Population Survey

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is a U.S. government agency that is responsible for measuring and analyzing the nation's labor market and economy. It is part of the Department of Labor and its mission is to collect, analyze, and disseminate essential economic information to support public and private decision-making.

Bureau of labor statistics (BLS)

Labour & Income - United States - BLS - Current Population Survey

This dataset contains the economic projections of the Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents, under their individual assumptions of projected appropriate monetary policy for growth, inflation, and interest rates

Key Economic Indicators Projections

Monetary - United States - FOMC - Key Economic Indicators Projections

This dataset includes information on diffusion indexes of participants' uncertainty assessments and participants risk weightings. Figure excludes March 2020 when no projections were submitted.

Diffusion Indexes Of Participants

Monetary - United States - FOMC - Diffusion Indexes of Participants

This dataset includes FOMC participants' federal funds rate target assessments: projected midpoint or target level.

Participants' Federal Funds Rate Target Assessments

Monetary - United States - FOMC - Participants' Federal Funds Rate Target Assessments

This dataset includes the distribution of participants' projections for various indicators—real GDP, unemployment rate, PCE inflation, and core PCE inflation—published by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED). Data is in number of participants.

United States: FOMC - Summary of Economic Projections

Sources

Gross Domestic Product Projections

Alphacast /
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index

Alphacast /
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Confidence Intervals For Key Economic Indicators

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Current Population Survey

Alphacast /
Bureau of labor statistics (BLS)

Key Economic Indicators Projections

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Diffusion Indexes Of Participants

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Participants' Federal Funds Rate Target Assessments

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Distribution Of Participants By Economic Projections

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

United States: FOMC - Summary of Economic Projections

Sources

Gross Domestic Product Projections Alphacast / Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index Alphacast / Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Confidence Intervals For Key Economic Indicators Alphacast / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Current Population Survey Alphacast / Bureau of labor statistics (BLS)

Key Economic Indicators Projections Alphacast / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Diffusion Indexes Of Participants Alphacast / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Participants' Federal Funds Rate Target Assessments Alphacast / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Distribution Of Participants By Economic Projections Alphacast / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Gross Domestic Product Projections

Alphacast /
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index

Alphacast /
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Confidence Intervals For Key Economic Indicators

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Current Population Survey

Alphacast /
Bureau of labor statistics (BLS)

Key Economic Indicators Projections

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Diffusion Indexes Of Participants

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Participants' Federal Funds Rate Target Assessments

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)

Distribution Of Participants By Economic Projections

Alphacast /
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FED)