Latin America EMBI: Argentina's uptrend
In response to the uncertainty brought by the COVID-19 pandemic, Latin America's economies showed an increase in their sovereign spread, with Argentina having the second-highest rate (4,361 bps, lower than Venezuela's 3,500 bps). As the year went through and the pandemic's first wave winded down, LAC's risk premia moved downward and, eventually, stabilized.
Argentina did not share the same luck as its neighbors. Although its country risk dropped after the debt exchange (September 2020), since then it has moved upwards, reaching 1,505 bps by early June. Investors seem very wary about the creditworthiness of Argentina's national government: for them, (another) sovereign default seems likely to happen.
