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S&P 500 and US 10 years yield

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by Robin Brooks "The Achilles heel of any Fed tightening cycle is financial dominance. Real 10-year yield is up from -1.1% end-2021 to -0.7% now, i.e. still very negative (orange). But S&P 500 at one point yesterday was down over 10% year-to-date (white). Does the Fed have the stomach for this?" Related Datasets Financial - Global - Rates - Yield curves Financial - Global - Equity Indexes -...

US Budget Deficit

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By Charlie Bilello "US Budget Deficit (Fiscal Yr, Billions) 2021: -USD 2,772 2020: -USD 3,132 2019: -USD 984 2018: -USD 779 2017: -USD 665 2016: -USD 585 2015: -USD 442 2014: -USD 485 2013: -USD 680 2012: -USD 1,077 2011: -USD 1,299 2010: -USD 1,295 2009: -USD 1,413 2008: -USD 459 2007: -USD 161 2006: -USD 248 2005: -USD 318 2004: -USD 413 2003: -USD 378" #UnitedStates Related Dataset: Fiscal - USA - Department of Treasury - Public Debt and Federal Fiscal...

US: Weekly initial jobless claims

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by Mohamed A. El-Erian "Good news for the #economy: Weekly initial jobless claims for the US came in at 199,000--the lowest since 1969 and comfortably better than the median forecast of 260,000. The big question for the labor market remains the scope for increasing labor force participation. #employment" #UnitedStates Related Datasets Activity - USA - BLS - Labour Market stats -...

USA: Employment Cost Index

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by Liz Ann Sonders "Wage story always important when analyzing #inflation … Employment Cost Index rose 1% q/q in 4Q21 (annual change was strong at +4%, highest since early-2000s), but key is to look at productivity; if unit labor costs don’t soar, there should be some downward pressure on inflation" Related Datasets Labour & Income - USA - BLS - Employment Cost...

The Bond Market is pointing to the Shortest Rate Hiking Cycle in Decades

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by Lawrence McDonald "Garbage Floats to the Top - The Bond Market is pointing to the Shortest Rate Hiking Cycle in Decades - 3 Things You Need to Know (2) https://thebeartrapsreport.com/blog/2021/12/10/garbage-floating-to-the-top/" #UnitedStates Related Datasets Inflation - USA - BLS - Consumer Price Index - U.S. City Average Financial - USA - FRB - Interest Rates -...

Recovery in employment remains more incomplete for people of color. Suffer most in recessions, benefit most from strong recoveries.

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by Claudia Sahm "Sad morning chart. Sar from "inclusive" and "broad-based" employment, especially among Black and Hispanic workers." #United States "Black and Hispanic employment rates are 3 percentage points below pre-Covid level, while White rate is 2 percentage points." Related Datasets Labour & Income - USA - BLS - Employment &...

Labor Markets in USA

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by Martin Polo "If the estimates are met, in November the US will have combined unemployment rate at 4.2% with inflation at 6.8% ... and Fed rates at 0.25 ..." Related Datasets Labour & Income - USA - BLS - Employment & Unemployment Inflation - USA - BLS - Consumer Price Index - U.S. City Average Financial - USA - FRB - Interest Rates -...